Sunday the ninth of August gave us four meetings and twenty seven races: the Curragh, Downpatrick, Chepstow and Leicester. Eleven of those races were won by the horse our ratings had rated best in the field.
Some of those were short prices and nobody needed us to find them. Others were not, and one of them is the reason this post exists at all. Here is how the day went.
A Curragh treble for Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore, all three of them Top Rated
Three races at the Curragh went to the Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore combination, and our ratings had all three of them on top.
It started in the 1:45, where Ibelieveicanfly won at 13/8, and he was a clear Top Rated rather than a narrow one.
Half an hour later Shakespeare took the 2:15 at 8/15. Of the three he was the one our ratings were most emphatic about, and a short price that never looked like needing a hedge.
The third leg came in the 4:00, where Sun Goddess won at 5/4 off a mark of 103.
Put the three together and you had a treble at around 8/1, made up entirely of horses sitting top of our ratings on the morning of the race.
Redhot Whisper: the one the ratings were really for
The 4:26 at Chepstow is the race we would point anyone to.
Redhot Whisper (Adrian Wintle, Finley Marsh) won it at 7/1, returning 11.09 on the exchange. Nothing about the form book screamed it. He raced off an official mark of 54, the lowest of the first three home.
Our ratings could not have been much clearer. Redhot Whisper scored 237.42. The next best rated horse in the race was on 170.20. That is a gap of sixty seven points in a twelve runner handicap, and it is the sort of separation you very rarely see.
The value column tells the same story from the other end. Our Value Odds made him 1.79, which is to say our numbers thought he should have been odds on. He went off at 7/1. That is a value reading of 618 percent, comfortably the standout of the day.
Now look at the NAPs column in that grid. It reads nine. Nine members of our NAP competition picked Redhot Whisper out of a twelve runner handicap at Chepstow on a Sunday afternoon.
Here is the breakdown of those nine, straight from the competition. Free members: zero. Premium and Professional members: nine.
We think that is the whole argument in one race. The information that made Redhot Whisper stand out was not in the form book, it was not in the market, and it was not visible to the eye. It was in the ratings. The members who could see the ratings found a 7/1 winner. The members who could not, did not.
Two more at the Curragh
The Curragh gave us five Top Rated winners in all. Rosie Frith (Patrick Magee, Colin Keane) won the 2:50 at 11/2 off 92.
This one was tight at the top. Worth saying, because the honest version of a day like this is that some of our top ratings are emphatic and some are line calls. This was a line call that came down our way.
The fifth came in the 4:35, where Mint Man (P J F Murphy, Chris Hayes) won a fourteen runner handicap at 5/1 off 66. He beat a 9/2 shot that our ratings had ninth of the fourteen, which is a useful reminder that the market and our numbers were reading that race very differently.
The rest of Chepstow
Redhot Whisper was not on his own at Chepstow. Dreams Galore (Ollie Sangster, Finley Marsh) won the 2:41 at 5/1 as our Top Rated, and our second rated horse finished second, so the first two home were our first two on ratings.
Finley Marsh therefore rode two winners on the card and both of them were our Top Rated.
The 5:01 made it three, Crimson Road (John and Rhys Flint, William Carson) obliging at 6/5, and that was the tightest call of the whole day.
Downpatrick and Leicester
Downpatrick produced two. Shoda (Joseph Patrick O'Brien, J J Slevin) won the 1:58 at 4/5. Malbay Madness (Dermot A McLoughlin, P J O'Hanlon) then took the 2:33 at 2/1, beating the 4/5 favourite into third.
Leicester supplied the last of them, Ray Mon Dough (Oliver Cole, Hector Crouch) winning the 4:44 at 13/8 in a four runner race where our ratings had the first three home in the right order.
What we take from it
Days like this are not the argument on their own. Any set of ratings will have a good Sunday. The argument is Redhot Whisper.
A horse racing off 54 in a twelve runner Chepstow handicap, invisible to the naked eye, sixty seven points clear on our numbers, sent off at 7/1 and won. Nine of our members had him. All nine were paying members with the ratings in front of them.
Anything we want to keep following turns up in our tracker.
If a day like this does not show you how powerful the ratings are, you are missing out
Everything above was on the site before the off, not worked out afterwards. Nine members found Redhot Whisper at 7/1 because the numbers put him clear at the top of that handicap, and every one of the nine was a paying member.
What is more, the ratings are only going to get better. We are adding to them constantly, and you can see the latest features on our What's New page.