Appreciate It @ 6/1
Appreciate It has been beating everything he needs to over 2m and comfortably at that. A super impressive win in the Supreme Novices Hurdle means there is no reason whatsoever about going up in trip and having now finished 2nd and 1st at Cheltenham we know he arrives here in good form. I expect him to be odds on come race day.
Monmiral @ 20/1
Monmiral made it 5 from 5 when winning the Grade 1 at Aintree against fellow 4 year olds and I think Paul would be making a huge mistake if he keeps him over hurdles next year. He surely has to go over fences and with that in mind this 20/1 looks a great price for me. Paul suggested he doesn’t always respect his hurdles whilst Harry said he can’t wait till he goes over fences and the stats suggest that going chasing is the right move as well. Looking at the front 2 from the Doom Bar hurdle and their following season form over hurdles and fences from the last few years the stats are as follows. 9/61 over hurdles (14.7%) compared to 7/17 over fences (41.17%). Allmankind and Fakir D’Oudaries have done this in recent years and they have both won or placed in Grade 1 company. Allmankind actually beat Hitman for Paul Nicholls in a race dominated by 4 year olds. I thought there was plenty to like about Monmiral and I think he stays over hurdles he may get found out and going up over fences will happen sooner rather than later. Dusart could well go over fences in England but other than that I’m not sure who will be the best of the British crop and we could easily see Monmiral turning up as one of the front few in the market having beaten the rest of the British contingent