Cheltenham Festival 2022 – Liam’s Selections

I think the 2021 Festival has thrown up many winner who will win again and as boring as they are, I think come the festival barring not making it they will be shorter and most likely winners.

Supreme Novices Hurdle 

Sir Gerhard @ 7/1

Sir Gerhard came into Cheltenham 2021 with a big reputation but maybe not as big as Kilcruits and that was why he didn’t go off favourite. He beat Kilcruit well enough with the pair pulling clear. I think the Champion Bumper will work out really well and Sir Gerhard looked to have the most speed out of the front 2 and surely this will be his target. It’s a race that Cheveley Park have not yet won so I think he will be aimed at this race.

Arkle Chase

Appreciate It @ 6/1

Appreciate It has been beating everything he needs to over 2m and comfortably at that. A super impressive win in the Supreme Novices Hurdle means there is no reason whatsoever about going up in trip and having now finished 2nd and 1st at Cheltenham we know he arrives here in good form. I expect him to be odds on come race day.

Monmiral @ 20/1

Monmiral made it 5 from 5 when winning the Grade 1 at Aintree against fellow 4 year olds and I think Paul would be making a huge mistake if he keeps him over hurdles next year. He surely has to go over fences and with that in mind this 20/1 looks a great price for me. Paul suggested he doesn’t always respect his hurdles whilst Harry said he can’t wait till he goes over fences and the stats suggest that going chasing is the right move as well. Looking at the front 2 from the Doom Bar hurdle and their following season form over hurdles and fences from the last few years the stats are as follows. 9/61 over hurdles (14.7%) compared to 7/17 over fences (41.17%). Allmankind and Fakir D’Oudaries have done this in recent years and they have both won or placed in Grade 1 company. Allmankind actually beat Hitman for Paul Nicholls in a race dominated by 4 year olds. I thought there was plenty to like about Monmiral and I think he stays over hurdles he may get found out and going up over fences will happen sooner rather than later. Dusart could well go over fences in England but other than that I’m not sure who will be the best of the British crop and we could easily see Monmiral turning up as one of the front few in the market having beaten the rest of the British contingent

Ultima Handicap Chase (Last year 129 – 159)

Champion Hurdle

Mares Hurdle

Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

National Hunt Challenge Chase

Ballymore Novices Hurdle

Didn’t have a bet in the Ballymore this season but do already for the 2022 race.

Kilcruit @ 7/1

With Sir Gerhard now trained by Willie Mullins, I imagine he and Kilcruit will be split up next season and Kilcruit looks more of a staying type and this race should be ideal. As mentioned above with Sir Gerhard, I think the Bumper will work out really well and if Kilcruit can jump then I expect him to turn up next season here closer to evens than 7/1!

RSA Chase

Coral Cup (Last Year 138 – 154)

Champion Chase

Cross Country Chase

Grand Annual

Champion Bumper

Marsh Novices Chase

Bob Olinger @ 6/1

Bob Olinger was an impressive winner of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle and looks perfect at this trip. That’s why I think he’ll be sent over fences next season. There is no 2 1/2 mile hurdle at the festival for him and think he’ll stick to this trip. The runner up may be better over fences but I think Bob Olinger is a bit special over this trip.

Pertemps Final (Last Year 131 – 152)

Ryanair Chase

Allaho @ 6/1

Allaho destroyed them this year in the Ryanair Chase and although he may be stepped up to 3m for the King George, that’s as far as I think they will go with him. This 2 1/2 mile trip is ideal as he can go forward and make the running and set a mental gallop and keep going whilst the others drop away. He’s 6/1 to get there for me.

Stayers Hurdle

Thyme Hill @ 14/1

Thyme Hill looks a big price at 14/1 considering how short he was this year before he was withdrawn close to the festival. I can’t imagine it’s anything that serious as Aintree is being talked about and with that in mind I think he’ll end up here next season as the best of the british and be less than 5/1. If Flooring Porter doesn’t get these easy leads anymore we may find that he’s not as good as he has been this season.

Paddy Power Plate (Last Year 140 – 157)

Mares Novice Hurdle

I don’t have any bets currently in the Mares Novice Hurdle. No Concertista @ 33/1 this year sadly.

Kim Muir Handicap Chase (Last Year 135 – 145)

Triumph Hurdle

County Hurdle (Last Year 133 – 150)

Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

Cheltenham Gold Cup

Envoi Allen @ 8/1

Envoi Allen fell yesterday in the Marsh Novices which was disappointing but I’m sure this was just a blip. Al Boum Photo did the same in the RSA before winning 2 consecutive Gold Cups (tries to make it 3 today) and I think Envoi Allen is better than Al Boum Photo. From those who have ran in the 2 1/2 and 3m Novice chases, I would still be keen on Envoi Allen.

Mares Chase

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Hurdle (Last Year 136 – 145)