Thurles draw bias
What each part of the draw has really been worth at Thurles, in lengths against the field average, measured from every Flat race here since 2014. Positive figures finish closer to the winner than the field does; negative ones give lengths away at the stalls.
The whole picture, every trip
Every stalled run at Thurles together. The trip tables below tell the finer story: a bias at 5f can vanish, or flip, at a mile.
| Draw | Lengths vs field average | Runs |
|---|---|---|
| Low | -0.34L | 108 |
| Low-middle | -0.62L | 106 |
| Middle | +0.65L | 103 |
| Middle-high | -0.79L | 105 |
| High | +1.09L | 108 |
How to read these figures
The draw is read as a rank among the stalls actually occupied, cut into five bands from Low to High, so an 8-runner field and a 20-runner field compare honestly. Fallers and horses pulled up carry no beaten distance and are left out of their race’s average, races with fewer than 5 stalled runners are skipped, and a figure is only published where at least 100 runs sit behind it. The full method is on the draw bias index.
This is on every Thurles racecard
Premium members get the draw read per stall on the card itself, next to the ratings, the pace map and each horse’s own running style. Five days free, no card.